Tuesday, May 5, 2009

The hourly bar channel trade 1



Please refer to the hourly candlestick chart of the E-Mini S&P 500 above.

While it is well-known that one buys the bottom of the channel, where
are the reference points. We need two -

1. A buy trigger point somewhere above the bottom of the channel.
2. A stop loss point somewhere below that and coinciding with the bottom of the channel.

We also need the standard bull trend situation where 3 SMA's are all
rising in concert and in the direction of the trend.

In the chart above, this situation develops from 4/29.

The trade is as follows-

1. Buy the instrument on 4/30 at the 40 SMA.
2. Set trailing stop at the 60SMA - 40SMA difference ( 6.25 points )
3. Take profit at the upper end of the channel ( about 26 points above entry )
and readjust each day.

The risk-reward ratio is a handsome 4-1 or better.